Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -105 NKU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -4.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -3.9 (-5.9) | 146.6 (+9.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -3.4 (-5.4) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -3.5 (-5.5) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -2.7 (-4.7) | 147.0 (+9.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | NKU 77 – 59 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#194) | -2.4 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#135) | -0.44 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#128) | -0.72 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.452 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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