Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -305 RMU +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +3 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -6.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -6.0 (-9.0) | 150.2 (+30.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -4.8 (-7.8) | 148.4 (+32.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -6.6 (-9.6) | 149.4 (+31.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -6.1 (-9.1) | 150.7 (+30.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | NKU 77 – 59 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | -3.4 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#159) | -0.30 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#170) | -0.36 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#191) | 0.474 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 37.0% |
Game Analysis
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