Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -110 NKU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +4 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -3.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+60.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -0.9 (+3.1) | 132.4 (+57.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -1.8 (+2.2) | 134.0 (+56.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -0.9 (+3.1) | 134.7 (+55.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -1.1 (+2.9) | 134.9 (+55.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | NKU 77 – 59 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#241) | -3.1 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#198) | -0.50 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#205) | -0.58 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#233) | 0.473 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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