Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -1000 SCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -12.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -12.9 (+5.1) | 162.5 (-4.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -11.3 (+6.7) | 157.7 (+0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -12.5 (+5.5) | 160.2 (-2.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -11.9 (+6.1) | 161.1 (-3.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#17) | 5.2 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#7) | 1.21 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.10 (#4) | 1.62 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#4) | 0.556 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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