Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | SCU +250 GONZ -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +19 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -5.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -3.2 (-15.8) | 160.9 (+10.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -3.9 (-15.1) | 159.9 (+11.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -3.4 (-15.6) | 161.7 (+9.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -2.0 (-17.0) | 161.8 (+9.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
| Feb 25, 2024 | GONZ 94 – 81 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#51) | 20.4 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#67) | 1.98 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#67) | 2.83 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#64) | 0.583 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 2.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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