Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1800 SCU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -18.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -16.5 (-4.5) | 158.5 (+7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -14.6 (-2.6) | 158.3 (+7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -16.5 (-4.5) | 156.9 (+9.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -17.2 (-5.2) | 157.0 (+9.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
| Feb 25, 2024 | GONZ 94 – 81 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-0 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 25.6 (#2) | 11.0 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#9) | 1.86 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.24 (#9) | 2.86 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#20) | 0.586 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.93 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 40.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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