Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1600 SCU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +13 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -13.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -12.6 (+0.4) | 152.7 (+22.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -11.9 (+1.1) | 153.1 (+21.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -12.5 (+0.5) | 150.8 (+24.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -11.6 (+1.4) | 151.6 (+23.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#19) | 4.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#44) | 0.99 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#29) | 1.12 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#42) | 0.534 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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