Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -2000 SCU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +4 | 202 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -15.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (+36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -13.5 (-17.5) | 162.8 (+39.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -13.2 (-17.2) | 161.9 (+40.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -12.4 (-16.4) | 162.6 (+39.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -12.4 (-16.4) | 161.2 (+40.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | GONZ 94 – 81 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#10) | 8.3 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#34) | 1.23 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#27) | 1.60 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#30) | 0.567 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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