Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -375 SCU +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -8.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -6.7 (+4.3) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -5.5 (+5.5) | 147.1 (-0.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -7.5 (+3.5) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -7.0 (+4.0) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
| Feb 25, 2024 | GONZ 94 – 81 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-0 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 22.6 (#6) | 14.1 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#7) | 2.42 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#8) | 3.21 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#15) | 0.599 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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