Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -125 EIU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -2.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.9 (+12.1) | 138.9 (+8.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.5 (+10.5) | 138.9 (+8.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.1 (+11.9) | 137.6 (+9.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.7 (+12.3) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EIU 71 – 67 LIN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIN 82 – 74 EIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EIU 76 – 70 LIN |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EIU 78 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EIU 72 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#345) | -10.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#348) | -2.20 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#342) | -2.71 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#345) | 0.385 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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