Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -175 TNTC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +19 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -3.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -3.2 (+15.8) | 141.2 (-32.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -3.9 (+15.1) | 138.9 (-29.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -3.0 (+16.0) | 141.3 (-32.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.9 (+16.1) | 141.6 (-32.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#297) | -6.9 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#207) | -1.56 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#238) | -1.83 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#197) | 0.427 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.