Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Portland State Vikings
69 – 66
FINAL Conference
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Viking Pavilion · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -5.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money PRST -175 / IDHO +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRST win
Actual PRST +3 135 Won
Massey PRST -6.3 (-3.3) — —
Massey Totals — 156.0 (-21.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML PRST -4.8 (-1.8) 152.4 (-17.4) 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRST -5.7 (-2.7) 145.2 (-10.2) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML PRST -4.6 (-1.6) 150.6 (-15.6) 69% ✓
Baseline ML PRST -4.6 (-1.6) 151.6 (-16.6) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 PRST 77 – 67 IDHO
Jan 24, 2026 PRST 69 – 66 IDHO
Mar 11, 2025 IDHO 80 – 70 PRST
Feb 7, 2025 PRST 76 – 69 IDHO
Jan 11, 2025 PRST 75 – 63 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRST IDHO
Overall 12-19 10-22
Conference 6-11 4-14
Home 6-7 6-10
Away 5-9 4-11
Neutral 1-3 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L4 L5
Avg Pts For 73.7 69.6
Avg Pts Against 78.2 74.4
Massey -3.4 (#233) -6.1 (#280)
Bradley-Terry -0.61 (#236) -1.68 (#318)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#232) -1.94 (#313)
RPI 0.466 (#249) 0.377 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors PRST IDHO
FG% 42.7% 46.8%
3PT% 32.9% 33.1%
REB / G 30.0 29.0
OREB / G 9.1 6.0
AST / TO 0.99 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 53.3%
TOV% 17.5% 17.4%
ORB% 25.3% 19.6%
FT Rate 26.4% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 16.4%
DRB% 67.9% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 35.8% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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