And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Portland State Vikings
75 – 63
FINAL Conference
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Viking Pavilion · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -2.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money PRST -140 / IDHO +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRST win
Actual PRST +12 138 Won
Massey PRST -3.1 (+8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 151.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML PRST -1.5 (+10.5) 142.4 (-4.4) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRST -2.4 (+9.6) 141.8 (-3.8) 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML PRST -1.7 (+10.3) 143.2 (-5.2) 61% ✓
Baseline ML PRST -1.5 (+10.5) 142.3 (-4.3) 62% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 PRST 77 – 67 IDHO
Jan 24, 2026 PRST 69 – 66 IDHO
Mar 11, 2025 IDHO 80 – 70 PRST
Feb 7, 2025 PRST 76 – 69 IDHO
Mar 5, 2024 PRST 72 – 57 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRST IDHO
Overall 19-13 14-19
Conference 11-7 8-10
Home 13-1 8-6
Away 5-10 5-11
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 72.1
Avg Pts Against 70.9 76.6
Massey -4.9 (#251) -3.9 (#233)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#222) -0.76 (#246)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.62 (#214) -0.94 (#234)
RPI 0.439 (#284) 0.455 (#251)
Shooting & Four Factors PRST IDHO
FG% 44.7% 44.6%
3PT% 31.6% 36.6%
REB / G 34.8 33.3
OREB / G 12.2 10.1
AST / TO 0.91 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 53.0%
TOV% 20.0% 19.6%
ORB% 34.1% 30.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 16.0%
DRB% 67.4% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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