Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Idaho Vandals
66 69
FINAL Conference
Portland State Vikings
Big Sky Conference · ICCU Arena · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -1.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money IDHO -122 / PRST +102
Model Predictions
Spread Total IDHO win
Actual PRST +3 135 Lost
Massey IDHO -1.8 (-4.8)
Massey Totals 146.4 (-11.4)
Bradley-Terry 53%
Weighted B-T 51%
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -0.7 (-3.7) 145.7 (-10.7) 51%
Model 4 ML IDHO -0.3 (-3.3) 144.5 (-9.5) 47%
Model 3 ML IDHO -0.6 (-3.6) 141.7 (-6.7) 53%
Baseline ML IDHO -0.1 (-3.1) 143.7 (-8.7) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 PRST 7767 IDHO
Mar 11, 2025 IDHO 8070 PRST
Feb 7, 2025 PRST 7669 IDHO
Jan 11, 2025 PRST 7563 IDHO
Mar 5, 2024 PRST 7257 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IDHO PRST
Overall 21-15 20-11
Conference 9-9 13-5
Home 9-4 11-3
Away 7-9 8-7
Neutral 5-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.8 73.9
Avg Pts Against 74.1 71.2
Massey 0.0 (#167) 1.5 (#143)
Bradley-Terry 0.11 (#160) 0.57 (#119)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.06 (#163) 0.62 (#123)
RPI 0.488 (#202) 0.512 (#140)
Shooting & Four Factors IDHO PRST
FG% 43.3% 46.2%
3PT% 34.7% 33.7%
REB / G 34.9 36.4
OREB / G 10.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.07 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 52.2%
TOV% 15.7% 19.0%
ORB% 29.0% 32.2%
FT Rate 28.2% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 17.8%
DRB% 71.6% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 29.2% 34.8%

Game Analysis

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