Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -122 PRST +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -1.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.6 (-3.6) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -0.3 (-3.3) | 144.5 (-9.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -0.7 (-3.7) | 145.7 (-10.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -0.1 (-3.1) | 143.7 (-8.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRST 77 – 67 IDHO |
| Mar 11, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 70 PRST |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PRST 76 – 69 IDHO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRST 75 – 63 IDHO |
| Mar 5, 2024 | PRST 72 – 57 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#167) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#160) | 0.57 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#163) | 0.62 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#202) | 0.512 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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