Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -110 PRST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -0.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -0.3 (-6.7) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -0.2 (-6.8) | 147.3 (-2.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -0.4 (-6.6) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -0.0 (-7.0) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRST 77 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRST 69 – 66 IDHO |
| Mar 11, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 70 PRST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRST 75 – 63 IDHO |
| Mar 5, 2024 | PRST 72 – 57 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#248) | -2.7 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#249) | -0.50 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#259) | -0.43 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#274) | 0.463 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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