What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Portland State Vikings
70 – 80
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Sky
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -4.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money PRST -195 / IDHO +165
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRST win
Actual IDHO +10 150 Lost
Massey PRST -4.1 (-14.1) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (+4.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML PRST -2.8 (-12.8) 140.8 (+9.2) 62% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRST -3.5 (-13.5) 140.4 (+9.6) 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML PRST -2.8 (-12.8) 140.5 (+9.5) 65% ✗
Baseline ML PRST -3.0 (-13.0) 140.7 (+9.3) 62% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 PRST 77 – 67 IDHO
Jan 24, 2026 PRST 69 – 66 IDHO
Feb 7, 2025 PRST 76 – 69 IDHO
Jan 11, 2025 PRST 75 – 63 IDHO
Mar 5, 2024 PRST 72 – 57 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRST IDHO
Overall 19-13 14-19
Conference 11-7 8-10
Home 13-1 8-6
Away 5-10 5-11
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 72.1
Avg Pts Against 70.9 76.6
Massey -2.0 (#196) -6.0 (#263)
Bradley-Terry -0.35 (#203) -1.09 (#271)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#182) -1.33 (#273)
RPI 0.483 (#219) 0.451 (#279)
Shooting & Four Factors PRST IDHO
FG% 45.8% 43.7%
3PT% 32.5% 35.2%
REB / G 35.7 32.5
OREB / G 11.9 9.8
AST / TO 0.99 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 52.1%
TOV% 18.6% 17.8%
ORB% 33.8% 29.2%
FT Rate 22.4% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 15.4%
DRB% 69.4% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 25.9%

Game Analysis

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