You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Portland State Vikings
77 – 67
FINAL Conference
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Viking Pavilion · February 20, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread PRST -3.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money PRST -170 / IDHO +142
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRST win
Actual PRST +10 144 Won
Massey PRST -4.7 (+5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 143.4 (+0.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML PRST -4.9 (+5.1) 145.2 (-1.2) 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRST -4.6 (+5.4) 145.9 (-1.9) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML PRST -5.3 (+4.7) 142.0 (+2.0) 74% ✓
Baseline ML PRST -5.2 (+4.8) 142.9 (+1.1) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 PRST 69 – 66 IDHO
Mar 11, 2025 IDHO 80 – 70 PRST
Feb 7, 2025 PRST 76 – 69 IDHO
Jan 11, 2025 PRST 75 – 63 IDHO
Mar 5, 2024 PRST 72 – 57 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRST IDHO
Overall 20-11 21-15
Conference 13-5 9-9
Home 11-3 9-4
Away 8-7 7-9
Neutral 1-1 5-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.9 75.8
Avg Pts Against 71.2 74.1
Massey 1.9 (#137) 0.2 (#160)
Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#111) -0.40 (#211)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#127) -0.38 (#196)
RPI 0.528 (#117) 0.471 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors PRST IDHO
FG% 46.2% 43.8%
3PT% 33.5% 34.5%
REB / G 35.4 35.0
OREB / G 10.5 9.7
AST / TO 1.10 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 52.2%
TOV% 18.2% 15.3%
ORB% 30.8% 27.5%
FT Rate 26.6% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 15.6%
DRB% 72.6% 74.2%
Opp FT Rate 34.8% 29.5%

Game Analysis

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