Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -170 IDHO +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -4.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.6 (+5.4) | 145.9 (-1.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.3 (+4.7) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.2 (+4.8) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.9 (+5.1) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRST 69 – 66 IDHO |
| Mar 11, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 70 PRST |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PRST 76 – 69 IDHO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRST 75 – 63 IDHO |
| Mar 5, 2024 | PRST 72 – 57 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | 0.2 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#111) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#127) | -0.38 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#117) | 0.471 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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