Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -250 STAN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -9.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.4 (-14.4) | 135.0 (+15.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.8 (-12.8) | 134.4 (+15.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.9 (-13.9) | 133.1 (+16.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -8.2 (-14.2) | 134.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#42) | 5.0 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#78) | -0.29 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#74) | -0.08 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.464 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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