Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +4 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -4.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -6.2 (-10.2) | 143.7 (-27.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -5.0 (-9.0) | 140.1 (-24.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -5.0 (-9.0) | 143.2 (-27.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -5.7 (-9.7) | 144.3 (-28.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#101) | 4.1 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#55) | -0.10 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#58) | 0.18 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#65) | 0.468 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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