Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -400 STAN +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -9.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.5 (+13.5) | 154.9 (+3.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -8.5 (+13.5) | 157.0 (+1.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -8.8 (+13.2) | 156.5 (+1.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -8.3 (+13.7) | 156.6 (+1.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#45) | 5.1 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#64) | 0.43 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#70) | 0.71 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#68) | 0.495 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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