Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | UTAH -110 STAN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -2.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.6 (-12.6) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.2 (-12.2) | 132.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.1 (-12.1) | 134.8 (+0.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.5 (-12.5) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#58) | 6.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#104) | 0.13 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#96) | 0.45 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#170) | 0.473 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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