Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -150 UTAH +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -0.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -0.2 (-5.2) | 135.8 (+1.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.4 (-5.4) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -0.1 (-5.1) | 134.5 (+2.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -0.1 (-5.1) | 136.4 (+0.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#82) | 11.2 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#200) | 1.17 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#162) | 1.69 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#152) | 0.532 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 40.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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