Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | STAN +115 UTAH -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -6.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -4.9 (+10.9) | 154.4 (-2.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -5.2 (+11.2) | 155.6 (-3.6) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -5.6 (+11.6) | 156.3 (-4.3) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -5.2 (+11.2) | 155.5 (-3.5) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 56 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#99) | 15.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#139) | 2.23 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#122) | 2.75 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#136) | 0.609 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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