Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money YSU -175 / WRST +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +2 180 Won
Massey YSU -9.1 (-7.1) — —
Massey Totals — 163.6 (+16.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -7.9 (-5.9) 159.1 (+20.9) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -6.6 (-4.6) 158.0 (+22.0) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -8.1 (-6.1) 159.0 (+21.0) 81% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -7.6 (-5.6) 159.1 (+20.9) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2026 WRST 93 – 83 YSU
Dec 3, 2025 YSU 69 – 68 WRST
Jan 30, 2025 YSU 88 – 86 WRST
Dec 19, 2024 YSU 80 – 70 WRST
Feb 2, 2024 YSU 88 – 77 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU WRST
Overall 24-10 18-15
Conference 15-5 10-10
Home 14-3 9-6
Away 9-6 7-8
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 80.4 78.3
Avg Pts Against 72.9 74.7
Massey 3.9 (#110) -1.6 (#207)
Bradley-Terry 0.37 (#140) -0.64 (#240)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.52 (#133) -0.76 (#234)
RPI 0.519 (#149) 0.461 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU WRST
FG% 49.1% 48.6%
3PT% 40.0% 33.2%
REB / G 33.9 36.0
OREB / G 10.5 9.1
AST / TO 1.27 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.0% 53.1%
TOV% 16.7% 18.4%
ORB% 32.5% 26.5%
FT Rate 23.5% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 18.7%
DRB% 71.5% 75.6%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 19.2%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.