Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -250 UNCO +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -9.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -7.3 (-5.3) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -5.8 (-3.8) | 141.7 (-5.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.4 (-5.4) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -7.2 (-5.2) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#169) | -6.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#216) | -0.87 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#190) | -1.11 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#223) | 0.453 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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