Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -400 UIW +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -10.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -8.6 (+1.4) | 148.4 (-4.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -8.9 (+1.1) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -8.0 (+2.0) | 147.9 (-3.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -8.5 (+1.5) | 148.3 (-4.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#262) | -12.0 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#199) | -1.61 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#224) | -2.23 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#200) | 0.400 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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