Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -400 LR +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +1 | 197 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -10.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -8.5 (-7.5) | 160.1 (+36.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -8.6 (-7.6) | 159.1 (+37.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -8.4 (-7.4) | 158.6 (+38.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -8.7 (-7.7) | 159.8 (+37.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SEMO 70 – 65 LR |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SEMO 70 – 65 LR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SEMO 78 – 59 LR |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SEMO 57 – 45 LR |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LR 73 – 71 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#235) | -10.1 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#231) | -2.25 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#251) | -2.75 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#209) | 0.381 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.