Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–15 on winners spread MAE 9.0 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Florida -5.1 130.0 35% 54–67 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +10.6 140.4 84% 73–94 ✓
Tulsa @ Cincinnati +15.3 144.7 88% 55–81 ✓
East Carolina @ South Florida +5.7 146.2 76% 63–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +6.3 133.2 68% 82–70 ✗
Army @ Lehigh +1.7 142.3 58% 71–69 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +6.7 134.3 72% 78–71 ✗
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +6.2 145.2 74% 65–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Louisville -4.4 135.3 42% 58–68 ✗
New Hampshire @ NJIT -0.5 136.6 42% 74–67 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +4.7 155.5 72% 53–71 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +8.7 144.9 81% 55–69 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette +0.3 130.5 50% 53–34 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +3.7 131.8 64% 66–62 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +5.1 144.5 72% 50–64 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Mason +2.4 145.0 64% 59–70 ✓
George Washington @ La Salle -0.2 149.0 49% 64–75 ✗
Radford @ Presbyterian -7.9 131.8 21% 67–59 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop -1.7 139.6 45% 74–76 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -1.7 139.5 39% 67–59 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Campbell +3.9 135.5 69% 66–78 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina -2.4 145.9 40% 85–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +7.5 156.6 78% 58–79 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +0.2 141.5 49% 52–77 ✓
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley -11.1 144.8 16% 67–65 ✓
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +9.3 132.6 83% 67–76 ✓
UIC @ Illinois State +4.0 137.3 69% 62–68 ✓
Belmont @ Murray State +0.3 148.2 53% 82–83 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +4.9 133.7 65% 52–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -11.0 148.5 14% 83–65 ✓
Villanova @ Marquette +10.6 147.4 84% 64–73 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +1.1 143.3 55% 84–72 ✗
Minnesota @ Rutgers +15.4 129.7 88% 55–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +2.1 134.3 65% 71–61 ✗
SMU @ Tulane +9.9 156.8 81% 52–74 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +10.4 142.7 84% 81–88 ✓
Florida State @ NC State +12.5 155.0 87% 66–94 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +10.7 149.8 85% 77–87 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Mexico State -1.0 148.9 43% 67–73 ✗
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +0.3 146.6 43% 72–71 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +9.8 142.0 81% 83–68 ✗
New Mexico @ Utah State +2.5 158.6 68% 73–84 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -12.7 150.9 15% 72–69 ✓
Central Connecticut @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.2 132.5 52% 48–53 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +10.1 128.9 86% 59–76 ✓
Marshall @ App State -3.0 146.2 36% 66–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.