Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -175 UPST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -6.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -3.9 (+8.1) | 134.9 (+9.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.9 (+8.1) | 133.4 (+10.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -4.2 (+7.8) | 134.0 (+10.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -3.9 (+8.1) | 135.5 (+8.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2023 | CAM 78 – 63 UPST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | CAM 80 – 71 UPST |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CAM 64 – 49 UPST |
| Feb 12, 2021 | CAM 72 – 71 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#249) | -7.1 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#269) | -0.97 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#265) | -1.31 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#271) | 0.444 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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