Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -163 UPST +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -6.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -4.8 (-3.8) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.0 (-2.0) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -3.7 (-2.7) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -4.2 (-3.2) | 143.8 (-0.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | CAM 78 – 66 UPST |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CAM 78 – 63 UPST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | CAM 80 – 71 UPST |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CAM 64 – 49 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 5-18 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-3 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#266) | -10.0 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#287) | -1.93 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#291) | -2.23 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#285) | 0.451 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 26.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 4.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 16.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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