Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -163 UPST +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +15 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -5.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -4.4 (+10.6) | 143.8 (-30.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.2 (+11.8) | 139.1 (-26.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -4.2 (+10.8) | 143.8 (-30.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -4.4 (+10.6) | 144.1 (-31.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | CAM 78 – 66 UPST |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CAM 78 – 63 UPST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | CAM 80 – 71 UPST |
| Feb 12, 2021 | CAM 72 – 71 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 5-18 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-3 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#269) | -9.8 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#284) | -2.09 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#291) | -2.32 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#279) | 0.443 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 26.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 4.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 16.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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