Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -250 UIC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -5.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -4.1 (+1.9) | 136.4 (-6.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -4.3 (+1.7) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -3.9 (+2.1) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -4.0 (+2.0) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UIC 83 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UIC 63 – 59 ILST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ILST 81 – 79 UIC |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UIC 73 – 67 ILST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#247) | -6.7 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#256) | -1.11 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#261) | -1.35 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#274) | 0.434 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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