Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -600 UTC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -7.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -8.2 (+12.8) | 156.7 (-19.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.4 (+13.6) | 152.9 (-15.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -7.1 (+13.9) | 156.0 (-19.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -7.5 (+13.5) | 156.6 (-19.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#100) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | -0.49 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#109) | -0.43 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#118) | 0.491 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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