Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -154 SUU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -0.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -0.0 (-1.0) | 145.9 (-2.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -0.2 (-1.2) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -0.5 (-0.5) | 145.3 (-2.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.3 (-1.3) | 146.6 (-3.6) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CBU 82 – 75 SUU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CBU 83 – 66 SUU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CBU 58 – 55 SUU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SUU 60 – 57 CBU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CBU 76 – 60 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#145) | 4.5 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#166) | 0.89 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#153) | 1.08 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#223) | 0.558 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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