Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +400 SHSU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -12.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -11.9 (+9.9) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -11.4 (+9.4) | 141.4 (-9.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -11.7 (+9.7) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -11.1 (+9.1) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHSU 83 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SHSU 67 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 4, 2022 | SHSU 86 – 78 RGV |
| Dec 22, 2020 | SHSU 69 – 66 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#281) | 9.9 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#226) | 1.72 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#239) | 1.91 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#200) | 0.589 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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