Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -220 SHSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -2.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -3.5 (-6.5) | 145.3 (-10.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -3.3 (-6.3) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -2.3 (-5.3) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.4 (-5.4) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SHSU 67 – 65 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHSU 83 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SHSU 67 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 4, 2022 | SHSU 86 – 78 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 2-5 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-3 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#269) | -5.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#163) | -0.05 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#193) | 0.24 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#141) | 0.552 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.5% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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