Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -8.0 Push |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -4.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -2.8 (+5.2) | 145.4 (+18.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -4.7 (+3.3) | 144.1 (+19.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -2.2 (+5.8) | 144.4 (+19.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.1 (+5.9) | 146.4 (+17.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SHSU 67 – 65 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHSU 83 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SHSU 67 – 61 RGV |
| Dec 22, 2020 | SHSU 69 – 66 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#258) | -4.7 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#306) | -0.63 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#287) | -0.62 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#305) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 11.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.