Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -1400 RGV +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -20.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -15.9 (+3.1) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -16.2 (+2.8) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -15.2 (+3.8) | 152.5 (-5.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -15.9 (+3.1) | 152.7 (-5.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SHSU 67 – 65 RGV |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SHSU 67 – 61 RGV |
| Jan 4, 2022 | SHSU 86 – 78 RGV |
| Dec 22, 2020 | SHSU 69 – 66 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#50) | -6.9 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#59) | -0.66 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#68) | -0.96 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#53) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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