Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -5.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -5.3 (-0.7) | 145.9 (-17.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -6.0 (+0.0) | 143.1 (-15.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -4.7 (-1.3) | 146.3 (-18.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -5.0 (-1.0) | 145.5 (-17.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SHSU 67 – 65 RGV |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHSU 83 – 64 RGV |
| Jan 4, 2022 | SHSU 86 – 78 RGV |
| Dec 22, 2020 | SHSU 69 – 66 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#294) | 0.2 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#315) | 0.16 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#309) | 0.05 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#289) | 0.520 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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