Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -275 ACU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -11.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -9.7 (-24.7) | 143.1 (+7.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.1 (-24.1) | 142.5 (+8.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -9.8 (-24.8) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.6 (-24.6) | 143.1 (+7.9) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | SEA 69 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SEA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ACU 64 – 59 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEA 75 – 52 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#113) | -3.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#74) | -0.62 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#89) | -0.83 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#69) | 0.458 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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