Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Western Athletic Conference · Climate Pledge Arena · February 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -7.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money SEA -275 / ACU +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual ACU +15 151 Lost
Massey SEA -11.0 (-26.0)
Massey Totals 141.2 (+9.8)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 94%
Baseline ML SEA -9.8 (-24.8) 142.0 (+9.0) 81%
Baseline Plus ML SEA -9.6 (-24.6) 143.1 (+7.9) 82%
Efficiency Plus ML SEA -9.7 (-24.7) 143.1 (+7.9) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -9.1 (-24.1) 142.5 (+8.5) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2025 SEA 6963 ACU
Feb 14, 2025 ACU 7559 SEA
Jan 12, 2025 SEA 6664 ACU
Mar 8, 2024 ACU 6459 SEA
Feb 9, 2024 SEA 7552 ACU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA ACU
Overall 20-12 13-17
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 12-2 10-5
Away 7-7 5-8
Neutral 1-3 0-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 70.3 71.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 74.9
Massey 3.6 (#113) -3.9 (#239)
Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#74) -0.62 (#235)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.24 (#89) -0.83 (#244)
RPI 0.564 (#69) 0.458 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA ACU
FG% 40.1% 44.1%
3PT% 30.8% 34.5%
REB / G 38.0 29.4
OREB / G 11.7 9.0
AST / TO 1.04 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 49.8%
TOV% 17.0% 18.5%
ORB% 30.5% 25.5%
FT Rate 22.0% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 55.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 24.2%
DRB% 73.9% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 35.0%

Game Analysis

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