Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ACU +225 SEA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -5.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -5.1 (-0.9) | 129.6 (+2.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.5 (-1.5) | 129.7 (+2.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.5 (-1.5) | 129.9 (+2.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.9 (-1.1) | 132.4 (-0.4) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SEA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ACU 64 – 59 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEA 75 – 52 ACU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | ACU 83 – 68 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#236) | 1.4 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#217) | -0.60 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#201) | -0.45 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#226) | 0.490 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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