Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ACU +120 SEA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -3.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -2.4 (+7.4) | 141.8 (-18.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.5 (+6.5) | 139.5 (-16.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.8 (+6.8) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.6 (+6.6) | 142.5 (-19.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | SEA 69 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SEA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEA 75 – 52 ACU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | ACU 83 – 68 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#227) | 3.2 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#190) | 0.31 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#185) | 0.64 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#229) | 0.516 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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