Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Western Athletic Conference · Redhawk Center · January 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -8.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money SEA -500 / ACU +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual SEA +2 130 Won
Massey SEA -10.6 (-8.6)
Massey Totals 139.1 (-9.1)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 75%
Baseline ML SEA -7.2 (-5.2) 137.2 (-7.2) 77%
Baseline Plus ML SEA -7.1 (-5.1) 137.0 (-7.0) 75%
Efficiency Plus ML SEA -9.0 (-7.0) 134.4 (-4.4) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -6.8 (-4.8) 136.9 (-6.9) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2025 SEA 6963 ACU
Feb 14, 2025 ACU 7559 SEA
Mar 8, 2024 ACU 6459 SEA
Feb 9, 2024 SEA 7552 ACU
Feb 2, 2023 ACU 8368 SEA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA ACU
Overall 14-18 16-16
Conference 8-8 8-8
Home 9-5 10-5
Away 4-11 5-10
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.8 67.6
Avg Pts Against 67.6 71.0
Massey 1.0 (#145) -5.7 (#261)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#226) -0.67 (#232)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#190) -0.55 (#209)
RPI 0.494 (#182) 0.461 (#242)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA ACU
FG% 41.0% 42.4%
3PT% 33.6% 25.3%
REB / G 34.1 29.6
OREB / G 10.8 9.7
AST / TO 0.87 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 45.7%
TOV% 18.5% 20.5%
ORB% 30.7% 28.8%
FT Rate 33.6% 30.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 23.3%
DRB% 75.7% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 38.4%

Game Analysis

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