We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Western Athletic Conference · Redhawk Center · January 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -8.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money SEA -500 / ACU +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual SEA +2 130 Won
Massey SEA -10.6 (-8.6) — —
Massey Totals — 139.1 (-9.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -9.0 (-7.0) 134.4 (-4.4) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -6.8 (-4.8) 136.9 (-6.9) 78% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -7.2 (-5.2) 137.2 (-7.2) 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -7.1 (-5.1) 137.0 (-7.0) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2025 SEA 69 – 63 ACU
Feb 14, 2025 ACU 75 – 59 SEA
Mar 8, 2024 ACU 64 – 59 SEA
Feb 9, 2024 SEA 75 – 52 ACU
Feb 2, 2023 ACU 83 – 68 SEA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA ACU
Overall 14-18 16-16
Conference 8-8 8-8
Home 9-5 10-5
Away 4-11 5-10
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.8 67.6
Avg Pts Against 67.6 71.0
Massey 1.0 (#145) -5.7 (#261)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#226) -0.67 (#232)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#190) -0.55 (#209)
RPI 0.494 (#182) 0.461 (#242)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA ACU
FG% 41.0% 42.4%
3PT% 33.6% 25.3%
REB / G 34.1 29.6
OREB / G 10.8 9.7
AST / TO 0.87 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 45.7%
TOV% 18.5% 20.5%
ORB% 30.7% 28.8%
FT Rate 33.6% 30.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 23.3%
DRB% 75.7% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 38.4%

Game Analysis

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