Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -600 ACU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +23 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -10.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -9.6 (+13.4) | 146.9 (-19.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.0 (+14.0) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -9.0 (+14.0) | 146.7 (-19.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.8 (+13.2) | 147.9 (-20.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | SEA 69 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SEA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ACU 64 – 59 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2023 | ACU 83 – 68 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#120) | -4.0 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#143) | -0.83 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#119) | -0.77 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#150) | 0.443 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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