Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ACU +130 SEA -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -3.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.1 (+19.1) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.4 (+17.4) | 138.6 (-4.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.4 (+18.4) | 139.1 (-5.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.7 (+18.7) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | SEA 69 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ACU 64 – 59 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEA 75 – 52 ACU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | ACU 83 – 68 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#254) | 1.4 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#246) | -0.56 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#222) | -0.43 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#257) | 0.477 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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