All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Big South Conference · Buccaneer Fieldhouse · February 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -3.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money CHSO +163 / GWEB -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual GWEB +8 126 Lost
Massey GWEB -1.2 (-6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 139.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✗
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -1.4 (-6.6) 137.1 (-11.1) 34% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -3.3 (-4.7) 134.6 (-8.6) 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -2.0 (-6.0) 138.1 (-12.1) 44% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -1.7 (-6.3) 139.5 (-13.5) 39% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2026 CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB
Dec 31, 2025 CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB
Feb 8, 2025 CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB
Jan 2, 2025 CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB
Feb 15, 2024 GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO GWEB
Overall 10-21 15-16
Conference 5-13 10-8
Home 6-8 8-5
Away 3-12 6-10
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 70.4 67.4
Avg Pts Against 75.4 66.7
Massey -4.7 (#251) 0.0 (#167)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#299) -0.63 (#238)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.47 (#288) -0.76 (#235)
RPI 0.431 (#300) 0.473 (#232)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO GWEB
FG% 44.6% 45.1%
3PT% 35.1% 33.0%
REB / G 34.2 33.0
OREB / G 11.9 9.6
AST / TO 0.90 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 50.7%
TOV% 18.9% 19.3%
ORB% 34.5% 28.3%
FT Rate 22.1% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 21.1%
DRB% 67.9% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 29.2%

Game Analysis

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