Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Big South Conference · Buccaneer Fieldhouse · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -4.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money CHSO +210 / GWEB -188
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual GWEB +8 162 Lost
Massey GWEB -3.9 (-4.1) — —
Massey Totals — 141.2 (+20.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 38% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 34% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -3.7 (-4.3) 140.7 (+21.3) 37% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -4.4 (-3.6) 140.1 (+21.9) 33% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -3.1 (-4.9) 138.1 (+23.9) 37% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -3.2 (-4.8) 139.6 (+22.4) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2026 CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB
Dec 31, 2025 CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB
Feb 8, 2025 CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB
Jan 2, 2025 CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB
Jan 11, 2024 CHSO 86 – 74 GWEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO GWEB
Overall 10-20 17-16
Conference 6-10 11-5
Home 7-7 9-4
Away 3-12 6-8
Neutral 0-1 2-4
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 64.0 71.9
Avg Pts Against 74.5 74.8
Massey -9.7 (#319) -2.4 (#209)
Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#302) -0.35 (#206)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.90 (#312) -0.53 (#218)
RPI 0.443 (#281) 0.498 (#175)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO GWEB
FG% 41.0% 42.9%
3PT% 32.0% 32.9%
REB / G 32.5 35.4
OREB / G 9.2 9.8
AST / TO 0.71 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 48.5%
TOV% 18.8% 15.4%
ORB% 26.6% 26.0%
FT Rate 25.0% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 16.5%
DRB% 68.7% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 32.1%

Game Analysis

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