Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -900 CHSO +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +12 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -15.0 (-27.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -10.3 (-22.3) | 143.3 (+16.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -10.5 (-22.5) | 142.7 (+17.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -11.2 (-23.2) | 140.8 (+19.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -11.1 (-23.1) | 140.7 (+19.3) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB |
| Jan 2, 2025 | CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#219) | -13.3 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#247) | -3.41 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#279) | -4.48 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#240) | 0.389 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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