Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +120 GWEB -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -0.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -1.2 (+10.2) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -0.2 (+9.2) | 148.3 (-13.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -0.4 (+9.4) | 150.2 (-15.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -0.1 (+8.9) | 148.3 (-13.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO |
| Jan 11, 2024 | CHSO 86 – 74 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#282) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#310) | -0.54 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#309) | -0.64 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#292) | 0.492 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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