And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Big South Conference · Buccaneer Fieldhouse · January 2, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -1.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money CHSO +120 / GWEB -140
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual CHSO +9 135 Won
Massey GWEB -0.9 (+9.9) — —
Massey Totals — 154.1 (-19.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CHSO -0.1 (+8.9) 148.3 (-13.3) 60% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -1.2 (+10.2) 146.8 (-11.8) 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -0.2 (+9.2) 148.3 (-13.3) 50% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -0.4 (+9.4) 150.2 (-15.2) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2026 CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB
Dec 31, 2025 CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB
Feb 8, 2025 CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB
Feb 15, 2024 GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO
Jan 11, 2024 CHSO 86 – 74 GWEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO GWEB
Overall 10-22 11-20
Conference 6-10 5-11
Home 7-5 5-6
Away 3-14 3-13
Neutral 0-3 3-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 70.1 73.8
Avg Pts Against 78.8 78.1
Massey -6.9 (#282) -1.9 (#196)
Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#310) -0.54 (#222)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.26 (#309) -0.64 (#218)
RPI 0.431 (#292) 0.492 (#179)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO GWEB
FG% 42.6% 48.7%
3PT% 31.8% 35.5%
REB / G 36.1 35.5
OREB / G 11.7 10.8
AST / TO 0.86 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 54.4%
TOV% 20.4% 23.5%
ORB% 31.3% 33.9%
FT Rate 22.0% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.6% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 12.9% 14.9%
DRB% 72.5% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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