Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -1600 TLSA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +26 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -17.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -16.1 (+9.9) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -14.9 (+11.1) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -14.9 (+11.1) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -15.3 (+10.7) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2022 | TLSA 83 – 77 CIN |
| Jan 21, 2022 | CIN 90 – 69 TLSA |
| Feb 25, 2021 | CIN 70 – 69 TLSA |
| Jan 2, 2021 | TLSA 70 – 66 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 16-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#63) | -5.6 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#93) | -1.44 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#94) | -1.52 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#103) | 0.423 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.